Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.876070 2.147271 2.445565 2.798276 3.204316 3.657544 4.202444
2025-06-29 1.429690 1.786295 2.215469 2.771250 3.473838 4.334980 5.474441
2025-07-06 1.172125 1.553806 2.042030 2.714739 3.621540 4.807102 6.483949
2025-07-13 1.068837 1.487928 2.051764 2.869830 4.033397 5.639436 8.042550
2025-07-20 0.944593 1.370763 1.969291 2.876879 4.228632 6.183619 9.254894
2025-07-27 0.869319 1.309565 1.952254 2.966492 4.541555 6.918432 10.822544
2025-08-03 0.785159 1.223065 1.884932 2.967662 4.713779 7.452262 12.136268
2025-08-10 0.710038 1.140516 1.812227 2.948032 4.844697 7.927256 13.401961
2025-08-17 0.639562 1.056799 1.727295 2.896326 4.912661 8.300288 14.531980
2025-08-24 0.597861 1.015126 1.704923 2.943693 5.148215 8.973103 16.253752
2025-08-31 0.561234 0.977756 1.685028 2.991327 5.386247 9.670919 18.097727
2025-09-07 0.517841 0.923999 1.631110 2.971783 5.499139 10.152724 19.590810
2025-09-14 0.465769 0.853668 1.548174 2.904340 5.542445 10.560456 21.098468
2025-09-21 0.423622 0.797777 1.486968 2.873676 5.658858 11.135448 23.054370
2025-09-28 0.383414 0.740655 1.416460 2.815099 5.710268 11.584615 24.809307
2025-10-05 0.373493 0.740679 1.454685 2.976170 6.225834 13.038406 28.926991
2025-10-12 0.347557 0.705855 1.420221 2.983492 6.419227 13.840366 31.718747
2025-10-19 0.332821 0.692097 1.426441 3.076570 6.808200 15.113143 35.782567
2025-10-26 0.310785 0.660617 1.392373 3.077786 6.992146 15.950993 38.939344
2025-11-02 0.289024 0.627380 1.350947 3.057396 7.123351 16.683137 41.947107
2025-11-09 0.266677 0.590517 1.297747 3.003691 7.168956 17.217725 44.535021
2025-11-16 0.254213 0.574468 1.289036 3.052890 7.468744 18.407580 49.022336
2025-11-23 0.242705 0.559394 1.280902 3.102367 7.775303 19.654390 53.862958